Question 3
Ratings of Issues Regarding Impact on
Global Credit Risk over Next 12 Months
Listed in the table below are a set of issues that could
potentially have a significant impact on global credit risk. We asked voters to rank each of these
issues on a -3 to 3 scale, where -3 is the most negative, 3 is the most positive, and 0 is neutral.
The figures in the table are the percentage of viewers who gave a given issue that particular score.
To find out whether voters consider a particular issue to be largely positive or mainly negative,
refer to the percentages in the columns labeled "Any Positive Impact" or "Any
Negative Impact".
| Higher Credit Risk | Lower Credit Risk |
Credit Risk Impact
|
| Valuation Correction | Dollar Decline |
|
| |
Percent By Rating Category |
|
Issues |
Any Positive Impact
(1-3) |
3 |
2 |
1 |
Neutral (0) |
Any Negative Impact
(-1 - -3) |
-1 |
-2 |
-3 |
Mean Impact Rating |
| U.S. Growth |
31.4 |
7.1 |
10.0 |
14.3 |
8.6 |
60.0 |
35.7 |
17.1 |
7.1 |
-0.40 |
| Central Bank Policy |
27.1 |
1.4 |
14.3 |
11.4 |
21.4 |
51.4 |
38.6 |
11.4 |
1.4 |
-0.20 |
| China Economic Growth |
84.7 |
5.6 |
33.3 |
45.8 |
4.2 |
11.1 |
8.3 |
2.8 |
0.0 |
1.10 |
| Renminbi (yuan) Revaluation |
36.6 |
0.0 |
9.9 |
26.8 |
38.0 |
25.3 |
16.9 |
5.6 |
2.8 |
0.10 |
| Global Imbalances |
5.6 |
1.4 |
4.2 |
0.0 |
22.5 |
71.8 |
45.1 |
16.9 |
9.9 |
-1.00 |
| Japanese Economic Recovery |
84.5 |
0.0 |
26.8 |
57.7 |
12.7 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.10 |
| Energy Prices |
12.9 |
0.0 |
2.9 |
10.0 |
20.0 |
67.1 |
35.7 |
22.9 |
8.6 |
-0.90 |
| Trade Protectionism |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
16.9 |
83.1 |
45.1 |
26.8 |
11.3 |
-1.30 |
| U.S. Housing Prices |
4.2 |
1.4 |
0.0 |
2.8 |
12.7 |
83.1 |
42.2 |
31.0 |
9.9 |
-1.30 |
| Middle East Instability |
7.0 |
2.8 |
1.4 |
2.8 |
11.3 |
81.7 |
31.0 |
31.0 |
19.7 |
-1.40 |
| |
|
